Financial Econometrics (FINA 4397, FINA 7354)
The goal of this class is to provide students with econometric tools and techniques to analyse and interpret financial data. Students will learn how to organize and work with financial data (cross-section, time series, and panel data) as well as analyzing finacial data sets using appropriate econometric techniques. The class also develops student’s ability to estimate various models and perform various tests using R.
Reference book
Required: Introductory Econometrics for Finance, 4th edition, by Chris Brooks. Cambridge University, 2019. The 4th Edition of the textbook is relatively new and revised to include R as the programming language. You can use the 3rd Edition of the textbook (2014) instead.
Note: The review parts of statistics and linear algebra (Part 1 in my lecture notes) will not be covered in class. I will cover parts as we move along the class.
R Note: The R programs are text files (.txt). R will run them better if you changed them to R format; in this case, just change the type from ".txt" to ".R". Not difficult. For security reasons, the server will not download "R files," that is why I have to put them in the server as .txt files.
Lecture Notes and R Programs:
Part 1: Intro to Statistics and Linear Algebra (Not covered in class)
Lecture 1 - Part 2: Review of Statistical Concepts, Returns and Data
Lecture 2 - Part 2: Intro to R and Hypothesis Testing -- Download R Programs for Lec 2
Lecture 3 - Part 2: Hypothesis Testing, Confidence Intervals (C.I.)
Lecture 4 - Part 2: C.I. & Bootstrap and Value-at-Risk (VaR) Application -- R Download Programs for Lec 4
Lecture 5 - Part 3: Regression: VaR, Introduction to Least Squares & Linear Algebra -- Download R Programs for Lec 5
Lecture 6 - Part 3: Regression: Review of Linear Algebra and LS with Linear Algebra -- Download R Programs for Lec 6
Lecture 7 - Part 3: Regression: Properties and One Parameter Hypothesis Testing -- Download R Programs for Lec 7
Lecture 8 - Part 3: Regression: CAPM, Fama-French Factors, & Goodness of Fit -- Download R Programs for Lec 8
Lecture 9 - Part 3: Regression: Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Data Problems -- Download R Programs for Lec 9
Lecture 10 - Part 4-5: Regression: Bootstrap and Testing Multiple Parameters in the CLM -- Download R Programs for Lec 10
Lecture 11 - Part 5-6: Regression: Testing Multiple Parameters in the CLM (Nested and Non-nested Tests) -- Download R Programs for Lec 11
Lecture 12 - Part Review: Review Post Exam 1
Lecture 13 - Part 6: Regression: Review of Tests, Model Specification and Functional Form -- Download R Programs for Lec 13
Lecture 14 - Part 6: Regression: Functional Form with Dummy Variables and Structural Change (again) -- Download R Programs for Lec 14
Lecture 15 - Part 6: Regression: Forecasting, Prediction, and Fundamental Approach to Forecasting (Example 1: USD/JPY) -- Download R Programs for Lec 15
Lecture 16 - Part 6: Regression: Fundamental Approach to Forecasting (Example 2: MXN/USD) and Model Selection -- Download R Programs for Lec 16
Lecture 17 - Part 7: Departures from OLS Assumptions: Heteroscedasticy and Autocorrelation -- Download R Programs for Lec 17
Lecture 18 - Part 7: Generalized Regression Model: Living with Heteroscedasticy and Autocorrelation -- Download R Programs for Lec 18
Lecture 19 - Part 7: Generalized Regression Model: GLS & FGLS -- Download R Programs for Lec 19
Lecture 20 - Part 8: Time Series: Introduction
Lecture Review - Part P: Project: Testing and Forecasting with PPP -- Download R Programs for PPP Project
Lecture 21 - Part 8: Time Series: Stationarity, Ergodicity, and MA Models
Lecture 22 - Part 8: Time Series: ARMA Models -- Download R Programs for Lec 22
Lecture 23 - Part 9: Time Series: ACF, PACF & Identification of ARMA Models -- Download R Programs for Lec 23 (same as in Lecture 22)
Lecture 24 - Part 9: Time Series: Estimation of ARMA Model & Diagnostic Testing -- Download R Programs for Lec 24
Lecture 25 - Part 9: Time Series: Seasonality Modeling & Forecasting -- Download R Programs for Lec 25
Lecture 26 - Part 9: Time Series: Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing Models (SES & Holt-Winters) & Evaluation of Forecasts -- Download R Programs for Lec 26
Lecture 27 - Part 10: Time Series Applied Topic: EMH & the Random Walk (RW) -- Download R Programs for Lec 27
Lecture 28 - Part 10: Time Series Applied Topics: The RW Hypothesis & Predictability -- Download R Programs for Lec 27
Lecture 29 - Part 11: Volatility Models -- Download R Programs for Lec 29
Lecture 30 - Part Review: Review For Final Exam
Lecture Bonus - Part 12: Long-run Relations: Cointegration
Lecture Notes (11 first lectures compiled in one big file)
Lectures 1-11 (pdf format)
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