PAPER FOR HONORS COLLEGE STUDENT: COUNTRY REPORT
You will write a report on a specific national market. Your targeted
audience is a busy U.S. investor. You
should provide some historical and current political details, describe the
economic and financial environment, and the prospects of your chosen country.
Finally, you should provide the U.S. investor two stock recommendations.
Note: The national stock market you choose cannot be the stock market
of your country of origin or residence.
A. Necessary Information
anticipated GDP or GNP growth.
monetary policy. You should provide an evaluation of inflationary
prospects, interest
wages and employment conditions. It is important to know the relative
wage with respect to other countries.
social and political situation. The goal is to try to evaluate country
risk.
competitiveness. You should provide an evaluation of productivity.
fiscal situation. Describe the government budget situation. You might
also want to discuss tax issues, which should include incentives to investment and foreign investment.
Sources: You can obtain this information from the IMF, reports by the
World Bank, OECD, etc. The Economist and Euromoney periodically
publish country reports.
B. Figures or Graphs
1. Macroeconomic Indicators (4 years of history + forecasts):
- GDP growth
- Inflation
- Trade Account (imports, exports and current account balance)
- Exchange rate against the USD
- Investment and productivity
2. Market Indicators (4 years of history + forecasts, if available):
- Stock Market Index (level, yields, PE, EPS, if available)
- Government Bond yields (short-term and long-term)
3. Stocks (4 years of history + forecasts, if available):
- 10-15 largest stocks (price, yields, PE, EPS, if available)
Sources: same as above + Financial Times, Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, country reports.
C. Text
You should discuss the political and economic background of the country current
situation, which includes:
Macroeconomics
Sectorial analysis
Country risk
Taxes
Exchanges rates
Recommendation: based on your analysis you pick a pair of stocks and explain
why. You should also include financial data -i.e., revenues, earnings, PE,
etc.- for those stocks you recommend.
D. Practical Issues
The text cannot have more than five pages.
There are more than 1800 ADRs in the U.S. Chances are that you will
find the most important stocks in your chosen country listed in the NYSE, AMEX
or NASDAQ.
You have to provide a recommendation.
The Internet is a very valuable source.
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